Monitoring Premium Motor Spirit Price in Nigeria: A Novel Artificial Intelligence Approach

Autori

  • N.E. Osegi Autore
  • V.I.E. Anireh Autore

Abstract

In this paper, we propose a novel artificial intelligence (AI) approach to address the price volatility problem (PVP). We present a decision support system (DSS) that leverages the predictive classification ability of the deviant learning algorithm (DLA) to analyze a Premium Motor Spirit (PMS) pump price dataset. The results demonstrate that classification accuracy above 75% can be achieved when the learning extent surpasses a certain threshold or is set to its maximum value. This approach can serve as a valuable tool for detecting periods during which there is a high likelihood of a pump price hike for PMS in Nigeria.

Downloads

La data di download non è ancora disponibile.

Riferimenti bibliografici

Bhattacharyya, S. C., & Blake, A. (2009). Domestic demand for petroleum products in MENA countries. Energy Policy, 37(4), 1552-1560.

Nigerian Bureau of Statistics. (2016). PMS Price Watch.

Onyinye, C. I., & Nkechi, H. O. (2015). Analysis of Premium Motor Spirit (PMS) Distributed in Lagos Metropolis, Nigeria. Middle-East Journal of Scientific Research, 23(7), 1321-1326.

Osegi, E. N., & Anireh, V. I. E. (2016). Deviant Learning Algorithm: Learning Sparse Mismatch Representations through Time and Space. Working Paper.

Pekol, A. (2010). The price of petrol—past and future. In ATRF 2010: 33rd Australasian Transport Research Forum (pp. 1-17). Bureau of Infrastructure, Transport and Regional Economics.

Silva, F., Batista, M., & Elias, N. (2013). Fuel price transmission mechanisms in Portugal. Applied Economics Letters, 20(1), 72-75.

Salas, J. M. (2002). Asymmetric price adjustments in a deregulated gasoline market. Philippine Review of Economics, 39, 38-71.

Pubblicato

2015-09-25

Come citare

Monitoring Premium Motor Spirit Price in Nigeria: A Novel Artificial Intelligence Approach. (2015). Nigerian Journal of Oil and Gas Technology, 1(2), 52-57. https://rsustnjogat.org/ojs/index.php/home/article/view/25